by Aner Ravon
This post was contributed to Degardener by Shahar Even Dar. I strongly encourage you to visit Shahar’s writing here and here (in Hebrew). Shahar is a long time friend and thinker.
This is the first in a series of posts in which I try to look at the long tail theory from a critical angle and check it limits. It seems nearly impossible to overestimate the impact of Chris Anderson’s long tail theory, and it is surely inadvisable to underestimate it. And yet, one can find examples for both types of wrong reactions. I am not worried, in any sense, about old media corporations trying to dismiss the new reality and I will not shed a tear while watching them drain millions before waking up. It is the over estimators, Chris Anderson naturally being the most prominent one, that worry me.
It seems nearly impossible to overestimate the impact of ’s long tail theory, and it is surely inadvisable to underestimate it. And yet, one can find examples for both types of wrong reactions. I am not worried, in any sense, about old media corporations trying to dismiss the new reality and I will not shed a tear while watching them drain millions before waking up. It is the over estimators, Chris Anderson naturally being the most prominent one, that worry me.The long tail theory was quickly adopted by many people who found it to be the perfect tool for analyzing the new emerging online economy. Those people now tend to look at the long tail as the only possible model for online commerce, and strongly object to any contradicting evidence. In a recent post in Anderson’s blog, for example, he was startled by the claim in a NYT article, that the DVD market is hit-oriented. For Anderson, the mere thought that a niche market does not follow his famous model is a blasphemy. Furthermore, if you are looking at online success, you must think in long tail terms. You either try to become a long tail supplier like amazon or try to carve yourself a respectable niche somewhere along the tail of an existing market by using SEM and SEO. While these two approaches are viable, one should remember that other options still exist.
The most striking example for a success that does not comply with Anderson’s theory is the online T-shirt vendor, Threadless. Threadless, for those who don’t know it yet, is a niche store aimed at T-shirt aficionados. Aspiring designers are invited to submit designs for the open contest (as well as for periodic topical contests), submitted designs are uploaded to the site, to be scored by Threadless registered users. Winning designs are printed in rather low quantities and announced twice per month. Many of the designs get sold out rapidly, leaving users with the option to call for a reprint. In other words, Threadless artificially and on purpose chooses a path which Anderson would regard as crazy; it cuts its own tail. And yet, this is the exact reason for the success story that drives Threadless. This is why there is such a buzz in the blogosphere about Threadless, why people rush to buy the new designs as soon as they get the biweekly newsletter, and why people get emotionally involved with a T-shirt store. Many times artificial scarcity works!
The Threadless success could only happen on the internet, of course, it is based almost only on viral marketing through blog reactions, its customers are T-shirt fans scattered all over the globe, and the online voting process has a major part in creating the customers’ emotional involvement. But all those factors do not make Threadless a long tail company, as I said earlier, quite the opposite is true.
Some people might argue that Threadless simply found a respectable niche within the overall long tail market of T-shirts, in which Gap, for example, is located at the hits end, and Threadless, as well as others is located somewhere along the tail. I beg to differ. Anderson’s model is based on the idea that the availability of information lets each buyer find exactly what he or she was looking for instead of settling for some default hit. Threadless uses the availability of information to create an almost opposite effect, to generate a will for something you did not know you wanted. Instead of relying on infinite shelf space and back catalog, Threadless forces its customers to be aware of the very limited shelf space, and the merely nonexistent back catalog, and manages to do it successfully.
The lesson to be taken from this example is that as powerful as the long tail is, there are still many other paths to success and to exploit the advantages of the online economy, as long as you keep an open mind.
Full disclosure: This post was written while wearing a Threadless “Technology Ruins Nature” shirt.
Aner Ravon
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08.05.07 @ 8:26 pmBEIJING (Reuters) - The boss of a Chinese toy manufacturing company involved in a Mattel recall after its products were found to contain excessive lead levels has hanged himself, Chinese media reported on Monday.
Zhang Shuhong, a Hong Kong businessman in his 50s and boss of the Lida Toy Company in the southern province of Guangdong, was found dead in his factory workshop on Saturday, the semi-official Southern Metropolitan Daily said.
About 1.5 million preschool toys made by Lida Toy, a Foshan-based contract manufacturer for Mattel Inc.’s Fisher-Price unit, were recalled across the globe by the U.S. company last week.
The recalled toys included popular preschool characters such as Elmo and Big Bird and dozens of other items. The case was the latest in a deluge of product safety scares that have tainted the “made-in-China” brand.
Lead paint has been linked to health problems in children, including brain damage. China’s quality watchdog had banned Lida from exports.
A close friend of Zhang who was also one of the major paint suppliers for the company sold the problematic paint to Lida, the newspaper said.
“(He) was so evil-hearted to have sold the fake paint to our boss … our boss was ruined by his best friend,” a manager of the company, surname Liu, was quoted as saying.
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Dean, an “extremely dangerous'’ storm, was centered about 125 miles (201 kilometers) southwest of Grand Cayman and about 385 miles east of Belize City just before 11 a.m. Miami time, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said in an online advisory. The storm was heading west at 21 mph, with landfall predicted early tomorrow along Mexico’s Mayan Riviera, north of Belize and south of the resorts of Cancun and Cozumel.
Dean swept south of Jamaica yesterday after plowing between the islands of St. Lucia and Martinique two days earlier, when it was a Category 2 storm on the five-step Saffir-Simpson scale. The hurricane had strengthened to Category 4 by the time it reached Jamaica and may become a Category 5 storm, with winds of at least 155 mph, later today, the center said.
08.21.07 @ 10:22 amGEZ IST EIN BETRUGSVEREIN - ACHTUNG AUFPASSEN
GEZ ABZOCKE - GEZ BETRUG - GEZ GEBUEHR
Abmahnung: GEZ untersagt “GEZ-Gebuehren”, “PC-Gebuehren” und “GEZ-Anmeldung”
Diese Seite bookmarken:
UEber 20 gelaeufige Begriffe zum Thema Rundfunkgebuehr und GEZ auf Wortverbotsliste. akademie.de erklaert sich zur GEZ-freien Zone.
(Berlin, 23.08.2007) Die Gemeinschaft der oeffentlich-rechtlichen Rundfunkanstalten hat die Wissensplattform akademie.de ueber die Rechtsabteilung der GEZ abgemahnt: akademie.de soll sich dazu verpflichten, “nicht existente” bzw. “falsche” Begriffe wie “GEZ-Gebuehren”, “PC-Gebuehr”, “Gebuehrenfahnder”, “GEZ-Anmeldung” oder “GEZ-Abmeldung” nie wieder zu verwenden. Das Verbot wird damit begruendet, die Nutzung der Begriffe diene nur dazu, “ein negatives Image der GEZ hervorzurufen”.
UEber eine “strafbewehrte Unterlassungserklaerung” soll www.akademie.de fuer jede weitere oeffentliche Verwendung eines Verbotsworts 5.100 Euro an die GEZ bezahlen.
Bisher hatte akademie.de kostenlose Tipps und Musterbriefe im Internet veroeffentlicht, die bei der GEZ-Abmeldung oder der Klaerung der PC-Gebuehrenpflicht helfen sollten. Illegale Praktiken wurden weder empfohlen noch erlaeutert. Die Beitraege sind jetzt abgeschaltet, Besucher der gesperrten Seiten werden automatisch auf diese Infoseite umgeleitet, die ueber die in der Abmahnung uebermittelte GEZ-Wortverbotsliste informiert. Bis zur weiteren Klaerung der Rechtslage erklaert sich akademie.de wegen der Seitensperrung zur “GEZ-freien Zone” und setzt dafuer ein Logo auf die Webseite.
Bei den von den oeffentlich-rechtlichen Rundfunkanstalten unter Zensur gestellten Begriffen handelt es sich - wenigstens im Internet - um umgangssprachlich gelaeufige Wortbildungen zum Thema Rundfunkgebuehren. Laut Google-Sucherergebnis vom 23. August 2007 finden sich im deutschsprachigen Internet allein die Verbotsbegriffe “PC-Gebuehr(en)” auf 37.100 (31.900) Webseiten und die angeblich nicht existente(n) “GEZ-Gebuehr(en)” auf 99.500 (225.000) Webseiten.
Die Suchergebnisse bei Google fuer den untersagten Begriff “GEZ-Gebuehren” am 23.08.2007: www.gez.de liegt auf Platz 1.
(Bild vergroessern)
Die Abmahnung zur Unterlassung “nicht existenter” oder “falscher” Begriffe auf der Website von akademie.de betrifft damit potentiell viele tausend andere Firmen, Webpublisher, Institutionen oder Personen, die die von der GEZ verbotenen Begriffe im Internet publizieren oder in Foren kommunizieren. Wegen des allgemeinen oeffentlichen Interesses werden Teile der Original-Abmahnung der Rundfunkanstalten zu Dokumentationszwecken bei akademie.de veroeffentlicht.
Ein Worthaeufigkeits-Vergleich per Google-Abfrage zeigt, dass die - nach GEZ-Meinung “nicht existenten” bzw. “falschen” - Begriffe auf deutschsprachigen Webseiten insgesamt etwa 3.000 mal haeufiger vorkommen als die Ersatzformulierungen, die in der GEZ-Wortverbotsliste als “richtig” bezeichnet werden. Nach Umschreiben der verbotenen Begriffe auf den Webseiten in abmahnsicherere “richtige” Begriffe werden die geaenderten Texte bei Internet-Suchabfragen in deutscher Normalsprache wohl kaum noch im Suchergebnis auftauchen.
___________________________________________________________________
Originalauszug aus der GEZ-Abmahnung mit Wortverbotsliste nebst strafbewehrter Unterlassungserklaerung
“GEBUEHRENEINZUGSZENTRALE DER OEFFENTLICH-RECHTLICHEN RUNDFUNKANSTALTEN IN DER BUNDESREPUBLIK DEUTSCHLAND
Bayerischer Rundfunk, Muenchen Deutschlandradio, Koeln Hessischer Rundfunk, Frankfurt Mitteldeutscher Rundfunk, Leipzig Norddeutscher Rundfunk, Hamburg Radio Bremen, Bremen Rundfunk Berlin-Brandenburg, Potsdam/Berlin Saarlaendischer Rundfunk, Saarbruecken Suedwestrundfunk, Stuttgart Westdeutscher Rundfunk Koeln, Koeln Zweites Deutsches Fernsehen, Mainz
Gebuehreneinzugszentrale, Postfach 11 03 63, 50403 Koeln
Per Einschreiben / Rueckschein,
akademie.de asp GmbH & Co., Betriebs- und Service KG, ..], 10999 Berlin ..]
Sehr geehrte …….,
..]
Irrefuehrende und falsche Begriffsverwendung
verwenden ..] auf Ihrer Internetseite eine Vielzahl irrefuehrender und falscher Begriffe.
1.) Falsche Einzelbegriffe
Hierzu zaehlt zunaechst die Nutzung nicht existenter Begriffe, die offenbar nur dazu dient, ein negatives Image der GEZ hervorzurufen.
Falsch:
Richtig:
GEZ-Gebuehren
gesetzliche Rundfunkgebuehren
GEZ fuer PC zahlen
gesetzliche Rundfunkgebuehr fuer neuartige Rundfunkempfangsgeraete
GEZ-frei
von der gesetzlichen Rundfunkgebuehr befreit
GEZ-Gebuehrenpflicht
gesetzliche Rundfunkgebuehrenpflicht
GEZ-gebuehrenfrei
von der gesetzlichen Rundfunkgebuehr befreit
GEZ-Rundfunkgebuehr
gesetzliche Rundfunkgebuehr
PC-”Wegelagerei-Gebuehr” der GEZ
gesetzliche Rundfunkgebuehren fuer neuartige Rundfunkempfangsgeraete
GEZ-Gebuehrenfahnder
Beauftragtendienst der oeffentlich rechtlichen Rundfunkanstalten oder Rundfunkgebuehrenbeauftragter
GEZ-Fahnder
Beauftragtendienst der oeffentlich rechtlichen Rundfunkanstalten oder Rundfunkgebuehrenbeauftragter
GEZ-Zwangsanmeldung
Begriff nicht existent, da bei einer gesetzlichen Gebuehrenpflicht keine Zwangsanmeldung moeglich ist
GEZ-Anmeldung
gesetzlich vorgesehene Anmeldung von zum Empfang bereit gehaltener Rundfunkgeraete
GEZ-Abmeldung
gesetzlich vorgesehene Abmeldung der angemeldeten zum Empfang bereit gehaltenen Rundfunkgeraete
GEZ-Anschreiben
Informationsschreiben der GEZ und/oder Schreiben, mit dessen Hilfe der gesetzliche Auskunftsanspruch des § 4 Abs. 5 RGebStV geltend gemacht wird
GEZ-Brief
Informationsschreiben der GEZ und/oder Schreiben, mit dessen Hilfe der gesetzliche Auskunftsanspruch des § 4 Abs. 5 RGebStV geltend gemacht wird
GEZ-Briefserien
mehrere Informationsschreiben der GEZ und/oder Schreiben, mit deren Hilfe der gesetzliche Auskunftsanspruch des § 4 Abs. 5 RGebStV geltend gemacht wird
GEZ-Gebuehrenbescheid
Bescheid der raeumlich zustaendigen Landesrundfunkanstalt ueber die gesetzliche Rundfunkgebuehr
GEZ-Widerspruchsbescheid
Widerspruchsbescheid der raeumlich zustaendigen Landesrundfunkanstalt ueber die gesetzliche Rundfunkgebuehr
GEZ-Antwortbogen
dem Informationsschreiben der GEZ beigefuegtes Formular zur Erteilung der Auskunft nach § 4 Abs. 5 RGebStV
GEZ-Faelle
Gerichtsverfahren zur Klaerung der Rundfunkgebuehrenpflicht
GEZ-Verweigerer
offenbar sind hiermit Schwarzseher und/oder -hoerer gemeint
2.) Nicht auf die GEZ bezogene falsche Begriffe:
Daneben verwenden Sie folgende weitere falsche Begriffe:
Falsch:
Richtig:
PC-Rundfunkgebuehren
gesetzliche Rundfunkgebuehren fuer neuartige Rundfunkempfangsgeraete
PC-Gebuehr
gesetzliche Rundfunkgebuehren fuer neuartige Rundfunkempfangsgeraete
Privatfahnder
Beauftragtendienst der oeffentlich rechtlichen Rundfunkanstalten oder Rundfunkgebuehrenbeauftragter
Gebuehrenjaeger
Beauftragtendienst der oeffentlich rechtlichen Rundfunkanstalten oder Rundfunkgebuehrenbeauftragter
Gebuehrenhaescher
Beauftragtendienst der oeffentlich rechtlichen Rundfunkanstalten oder Rundfunkgebuehrenbeauftragter
Provisionsjaeger
Beauftragtendienst der oeffentlich rechtlichen Rundfunkanstalten oder Rundfunkgebuehrenbeauftragter
Fangpraemie
Provision des Beauftragtendienstes der oeffentlich-rechtlichen Rundfunkanstalten oder der Rundfunkgebuehrenbeauftragten
Kopfpraemie
Provision des Beauftragtendienstes der oeffentlich-rechtlichen Rundfunkanstalten oder der Rundfunkgebuehrenbeauftragten
Jagdrevier des Gebuehrenfahnders
Bezirk des Beauftragtendienstes der oeffentlich-rechtlichen Rundfunkanstalten oder der Rundfunkgebuehrenbeauftragten
Mitglied der Rundfunkgebuehrenzahler
Rundfunkteilnehmer aufgrund der gesetzlichen Rundfunkgebuehrenpflicht
..]
Mit freundlichen Gruessen
……………………………………………..
(Abteilungsleiter Personal und Recht der GEZ)”
Auszug aus der von der GEZ der Abmahnung beigefuegten vorformulierten strafbewehrten Unterlassungserklaerung:
“Anlage A
(Unterlassungserklaerung)
Die akademie.de asp GmbH & Co. Betriebs- & Service KG ..] 10999 Berlin, vertreten durch die akademie.de asp GmbH ..] verpflichten sich,
..] unverzueglich die Verwendung der Begriffe: GEZ-Gebuehren, GEZ fuer PC zahlen, GEZ-frei, GEZ-Gebuehrenpflicht, GEZ-Rundfunkgebuehr, GEZ-Gebuehrenfahnder, GEZ-Fahnder, GEZ-Zwangsanmeldung, GEZ-Anmeldung, GEZ-Abmeldung, GEZ-Anschreiben, GEZ-Brief, GEZ-Briefserien, GEZ-Gebuehrenbescheid, GEZ-Widerspruchsbescheid, GEZ-Antwortbogen, GEZ-Faelle und GEZ-Verweigerer;
..] unverzueglich die Verwendung PC-Rundfunkgebuehren, PC-Gebuehr, Privatfahnder, Gebuehrenjaeger, Gebuehrenhaescher, Provisionsjaeger, Fangpraemie, Kopfpraemie, Jagdrevier des Gebuehrenfahnders und Mitglied der Rundfunkgebuehrenzahler;
..] zu unterlassen.
Ort, Datum
………
(Unterschrift Vertreter http://www.akademie.de”
Fuer den Fall, dass akademie.de keine Unterlassungserklaerung unterschreibt, bei der die Wiederholungsgefahr vollstaendig ausgeraeumt wird, kuendigt die GEZ in der Abmahnung an, sie werde die Unterlassungsansprueche “gerichtlich geltend machen, wodurch erhebliche Kosten entstehen werden.”
08.26.07 @ 6:48 amBei uns finden Sie die neuesten Nachrichten:
Entsenderichtlinie: EuGH weist Kommission in ihre Schranken
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Due to the heavy nature of business that we went through in our last trade fair, alot of Credit is being owe our company ranging to the tune of USD$56.5 million. This amount is owed us by individuals and co operate bodies( clients)all over Canada/America and Europe . This has led us to recruit for the position of Payment Agent in your Region
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MARITAL STATUS:
FAMILY SIZE:
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COUNTRY:
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Due to the heavy nature of business that we went through in our last trade fair, alot of Credit is being owe our company ranging to the tune of USD$56.5 million. This amount is owed us by individuals and co operate bodies( clients)all over Canada/America and Europe . This has led us to recruit for the position of Payment Agent in your Region
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FULL NAME:
CONTACT ADDRESS:
TEL/FAX NUMBER:
EMAIL:
AGE:
MARITAL STATUS:
FAMILY SIZE:
PRESENT EMPLOYER:
OCCUPATIONAL STATUS:
PRESENT INCOME:
COUNTRY:
So that a file will be open for you as the Company Payment Agent and your contact details will be forwarded to our clients instructing them that you are our Payment agent and that they should pay through you to us in no distant time.
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Go-Jamaica hosts marketing seminar on power of the Internet
Put the power of the Internet to work in your business” was the slogan used in The Gleaner Online’s third annual Internet marketing seminar, held at the newspaper’s North Street central Kingston offices yesterday.
Dr Felix Akinladejo, lecturer of Internet marketing at the University of Technology (UTech), as well as managers, students, entrepreneurs, representatives from advertising agencies and marketing consultants, were in attendance.
“Internet marketing is the field of marketing or advertising a business on the World Wide Web. Because the Internet is so dynamic and is always changing, it is important that you keep up to date with the developments and designs that will enhance your web presence,” said Hope McMillan, project manager of The Gleaner Online and seminar presenter.
Participants for the over-subscribed seminar discussed an array of Internet marketing issues around how to expand your online reach and how the Internet can work for your business.
Marketing solution
The Gleaner Online team took the time to walk participants through various types of Internet marketing solutions, in particular, ad formats and properly utilising websites.
Based on a survey conducted after the seminar, the attendees expressed satisfaction with the venue, the information given, the length and way the information was presented and the level of interaction between the presenter and the audience.
“I’m sorry I came so late. The information was good and it cleared up many areas of concern,” said one individual.
The Gleaner Online’s Internet Marketing Seminar 2008, was considered by all a huge success.
Because of the large number of registrants, some could not be accommodated. However, another seminar of this nature will be held soon.
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PS: You can also win tickets and meet the band on the Facebook page
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10.28.08 @ 6:21 pmOn the morning she realized her husband and son would learn the family was losing their house, Carlene Balderrama, 53, faxed a note to the mortgage company, then went to the basement and shot herself.
“I hope you’re more compassionate with my husband than you were with me,” she wrote in a suicide note left for the company.
It is a dramatic picture of the worst that financial stress can wring. As home foreclosures and unemployment mount, so do their companion tales of fraud, robbery, arson and even murder. And though suicides remain rare, evidence that financial stress is erupting in rash, often illegal behavior isn’t difficult to find.
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